Tag Archives: Real Estate market

Appraisal Challenges and a Rebuttal with the VA

brick front doorThere is a lot of nervousness these days getting past the appraisal contingency, which is one of several things that a real estate contract usually hinges on when a purchaser requires a loan.  The contracts typically most susceptible are those from FHA and VA buyers, as these buyers many times can, and do offer more than the listing price, and the appraiser tends to scrutinize the property much more.  These loans require the least amount of down payment, with the VA requiring zero down.  A higher priced offer, over the list price, excites a seller as they see dollar signs, while a savvy agent knows that it must first get through the appraisal hurdle, or else the deal falls apart, or the seller has to lower the purchase price to the appraised value.   Many times an agent will meet the appraiser at the property in an attempt to educate, enlighten,  or justify the contract price using comparative listings and sold properties, as well as showing and detailing improvements, etc.  Some times this is helpful when done with tact, while other times it just annoys and ticks the appraiser off.  I typically just want to make sure that the appraiser is local and familiar with the area.  Homes that border neighborhoods and dividing lines can be tricky if the appraiser  is unaware of these boundaries, which a map does not show.

I am currently listing a home and in contract with a VA purchaser.  I felt that we priced the home fairly, in the sweet spot of the market.  We ended up getting two offers within a few weeks and settled in on one that was about $3000 under asking price.  All the inspections went well with no issues.  The appraiser called to let me know that the value would be coming in below the contract price, but wanted to give me an opportunity (known as “The Tide Water Process” only for VA loans) to submit my own findings and comparative sales.  I thought this was courteous, however, in our conversation he made it clear that he takes his job very seriously, and that he’s hardly ever wrong.  I interpreted that as, “go ahead and knock yourself out, but I’m not changing the value.”  I proceeded to send him the comps and a write-up as to the value of the home, including upgrades and details he may have missed.  Also I asked the question, “What other house can the buyer purchase in this area for the same price that is similar, where they can keep their kids in the same school” (which I knew was one of the buyer’s objectives).

End result:  The appraisal came in at the list price, $3000 over the contract price.  Go figure.  Seller is getting his money’s worth by hiring me.

Lesson learned:  Never give up.  Decent writing can go a long way.

Anyone else have experiences, good or bad with appraisers and appraisals?

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Keith Klassen, Broker

916.669.9030

Sacramento Housing Inventory (Spring/Summer 2013) – Like Trying to Find a Needle in a Haystack

However cliché this title sounds, buyers and some realtors alike are completely discouraged by the lack of homes to choomonoploy housesse from.  I just read the statistic that the median days on the market for a home in April 2013 was 12 days.  In addition,  the inventory has shrunk a bit further since then.  Buyers use to say or think, “If I don’t get this particular property, I will just wait for the next one.”  Now they are saying, “The next one might cost more than we want to pay (or can afford), or we may have to wait 4 months to find it!”

Some home buyers have told me that they are just going to wait until the next dip in the market.  This could be extremely wise, or they could be waiting a while?  Time will tell.  Ultimately, like my dad use to say, “You’ve just got to get on the merry-go-round, or stand on the sidelines and wait.”

Is the Bubble Going to Burst in Sacramento Housing Market?

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My kids (and adults alike) love these huge bubble makers – they are awesome!  It seems like the public feels the same way about the real estate market.  One investor, friend of mine, who has been in business since the early 70’s – yes, 1970’s) is very skeptical.  He says, “Maybe it’s just the old guy in me talking [kind of sounds like my dad], but I’m sure if this appreciation in the market is real or manufactured?”  He went on to say that with the government backing so many loans at 3.5% down, so many home buyers are instantly upside down in their home after they buy it, as it takes about 8-10% to sell it.”  I’ve never really looked at it like that before. My response was, “but hardly any other buyers are able to even get an offer accepted, let alone close on a home, due to all the investors gobbling up the inventory with cash!”  My seasoned friend mused on, “Even with unemployment going down, I wonder how many of these new jobs are substantial… solid jobs – ones where people are making a good living and able to buy or invest with confidence.”   I left that conversation thinking:  1) The market will keep going up as long as there is demand, and I know with my list of buyers, there is HUGE demand.  And, it will keep going up as long as there is a perception of health in our economy – that seems what everyone wants to feel, even if it’s just a perceived reality.  How long will it last?  Or, at what price are these home unattractive to both investors and buyers?  2) Especially for investing… proceed with caution.  Another friend at the table said that he will only invest if he knows that he can get out safely within 6 months.  It’s interesting to hear seasoned investors say they are unsure and don’t know, especially when the wisdom of the day is to make certain proclamations like, “We got 2 years of appreciation!” or “Once the unemployment rate falls to ____, then interest rates will go up.”  Some of these statements have truth embedded, but beware of those who “knows for sure.”

Another respected voice, Jed Kolko (Cheif Economist) says in a recent article, “that the next housing bubble is probably just a matter of time. But, as Trulia’s Bubble Watch shows, that time is not now.”  See this interesting article HERE.

Ten Years of Housing Inventory in Sacramento – from Ryan Lundquist

If you are like me, it helps to see a picture to help explain and understand complex concepts.  An appraiser friend of mine does an excellent job of this on a consistent basis – check out Ryan’s most recent blog post HERE

Market Udate, Sacramento CA

[last news letter to our property owners, for whom we manage their properties]

Hope you are finding the spring enjoyable.  As the weather heats up so are the sales.  We’ve assisted several more owners since our last communication in selling their properties at the highest price and in a short time frame.  Others have taken us up on doing a property value analysis and many of the responses have been, “Not yet.”  Or, “I need to wait maybe six months before I sell.” Or, “When the value comes in at $ ______, then let me know and I’m willing to sell at this price.”  I did comps on one owners condo 6 months ago and now the value has come in at nearly $40,000 higher!  These figures have surprised us too and have shocked other sellers.  Take a look at the graphs below that visually show what the market is doing.  Give us a call or email us to take your next step. 

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As you can see, the trend is upward.  Now may be the time to buy as well, as some are concerned about being priced out of the market, or wondering if properties will every cash flow again.  We also began to hear some of our clients buzzing about 1031 exchanges (tax free).  Properties with equity, but a depreciated base can sometimes be parlayed into two or three properties that generate more cash flow and have potential for some great appreciation.  Let’s talk soon to determine your next steps.

Sincerely,

Keith Klassen, Broker                                                                                                    

(916) 669.9030  

Sacramento Real Estate Bubble?

This originally  was a sent out as a market update letter to my clients.  For a good read, check out this article.

Since the end of last year we’ve seen more gradual increases in most Sacramento property values.  Some of you are no doubt thinking that properties values will just continue to increase and holding on must be the best thing to do.  This could be the answer, but let me give you a few ideas to chew on, as to why the market may not continue to go up.Image

1)      The main reason behind this small bubble of increase is the lack of and low inventory (“supply”) and high demand.  If the market gets flooded with inventory, then this dynamic changes and values could go down again.  Some still talk about the bank’s holding back their foreclosure … this is still a big question mark, but if they are, then the flood gates could open again driving the market down. 

–          There has been a 20% reduction of foreclosures in the market since last year.

–          Forty eight (48%) of all sales are still distressed homes.

 

2)      Low interest rates keep money cheap (for those who can borrow it) and keep demand high for buyers, both investors and home owners.  Right now the buyers are stacking up and are having a difficult time purchasing property due to the high level of competition and demand (again, pushing up prices).  Everyone wants to get in on the action of buying a property, locally, the Bay Area, and beyond.  While the Feds continue to promise that interest rates are stable, if they do go up (a factor that can change things dramatically), the increase in home values will level out.

 

3)      Employment… In the Sacramento and California at large, unemployment rates remain right around 10%.  I believe that until this goes down, people’s ability (and confidence) to buy and absorb the higher price tags will not exist and the market will flatten.  In conjunction with the possibility of higher inventory and higher interest rates, this small bubble could pop. 

As for now, the market is ripe for selling.  How long will it last?  Let’s watch these factors and see what the market does in the future.  I would love to hear from some you other economists out there that may have other insights into the market.  Feel free to give me a call, email, or come in for a conversation.  If you are interested in seeing what your property is worth (and receive some coaching on what to do to make it worth more) or need some creative alternatives, let’s connect soon. Either call or email – 916.669.9030 / Keith@BurmasterRealEstate.com

Sincerely,

 

Keith Klassen                                                                                    

Broker                                                                                              

DRE#01867031

One Fortunate Buyer in Sacramento CA

I just closed a deal that could not have gotten much better for the buyer.

1) She was paying $1700 in rent for a decent unit in Midtown (but, still a lot of money).  the buyer got into contract for $122,750 on a 1890’s Victorian home (just what she dreamed about!).  Here housing payments were going to be about $730/month.

2) We got into contract before April 30, 2010 as to qualify for the Federal Tax Credit of $8000.

3) We closed after May 1, 2010 so to qualify for the $10,000 Tax Credit from the State.

4) The appraisal came back at a value of $105,000, so the seller was compelled to come down to that price. Now her payments will drop below $650/month!

Let’s do the math… About $18,000 savings on the purchase price (with a lower deposit amount), $18,000 in tax incentives – that’s a nice, quick $36,000.

5) The home inspection came back very clean and the pest inspection had minor work needed.  A few bonuses:  We found out that the foundation was redone at some point in the last 10 years; The roof was only about 1-year-old; There is hardwood underneath the laminate overlay, which is part of the buyer’s dream too!

Congratulations Laila!  I look forward to champagne this afternoon.

Enjoy,

Keith Klassen – Real Estate Broker

916.669.9030

Is Green Really Worth the Green?

I caught a news piece this morning while at the gym.  The title was something like the one above.  The segment dealt with the question, Do energy efficient upgrades in a home make a difference in the sale price? Even with long-term energy savings, the short and resounding answer was, “NO.”  While it makes all the difference for the environment, the sale prices do not reflect the upgrades, whether it be solar, added insulation, dual flush toilets, Energy Star appliances, etc.  The target then got pinned on appraisers.  They bluntly said that it was the appraisers fault… [paraphrased] The appraisers are behind the curve on this one.  It’s the appraisers that have not gotten up to speed and are not giving correct value to these items.  When an appraiser sees a furnace, whether it’s energy efficient or not, they just see a furnace…”

Now I have friends that are appraisers that will read this and have an acid reflex response (a little sour taste in their mouth).  And I know theses appraisers do know the difference and can spot energy efficient systems.

I would love a response/rebuttal from the appraisal world.  Sound off.

And don’t kill/hate the messenger – I’m just reiterating what I saw on the news this morning.

Enjoy,

Keith Klassen – Real Estate Broker

916.669.9030

Energy Efficient Home In Sacramento CA

I am fortunate to do regular work with the developers, Housing Group Fund, especially in acquiring and selling properties.  They recently partnered with Smud (our local utility company) on a home in a middle to lower-income area to rehabilitate it and make it energy-efficient.  Yesterday they held an open house for the real estate community.  They had the Quad-Lock blocks on display (see an earlier post of mind on this product, on this home).

This home is a great example of what true stimulus can accomplish.  Neighborhoods that usually do not get attention like this, could be transformed.

A friend of mine and appraiser, Ryan Lundquist, was there too and put together a fantastic video showing off the home.  Check it out below.

Enjoy,

Keith Klassen – Real Estate Broker

916.669.9030

New Energy Efficient Technology

This post is not very sexy, but hopefully interesting.  No special windows or solar-power… just insulation.  I work with a (re)developer that is partnering with Smud (our local utility co.) on a rehab project in South Sacramento.  Smud’s claim is that this is the first house on the west coast in which this product has been use.  In layman’s terms, it’s a foam, interlocking block that is stacked up around the outside of the house.  Wire and stucco are then applied.  Supposedly it is extremely easy to install (my kids would love to get a hold of this stuff) and super energy efficient.

Enjoy,

Keith Klassen – Real Estate Broker

916.669.9030